Sunday, April 29, 2012

4-29 Predictions

Alright everyone we are now more than 20 games over .500 and trending in the right direction.  15 games scheduled for today so let's get right to it.

Time (ET)
Away Probable
Home Probable

Angels (Santana) vs Indians (Lowe)

The last time that Ervin Santana faced the Cleveland Indians he threw a no-hitter.  I think that the Angels will be happy if he just keeps the team in the game.  He, like most of the Angels team, has not lived up to expectations this year.  I think that will continue today as Derek Lowe and the Indians will win the game and the series.

Pick: Indians

Tigers (Scherzer) vs Yankees (Sabathia)

Both Max Scherzer and C.C Sabathia have had success against the opposing teams, so this could be a low scoring affair.  If that is the case it would be different than the first 2 games of the series, both of which has seen the winning team score 7 runs.  Sabathia will pitch better than Scherzer today and the Yankees will get the win.

Pick: Yankees

Mariners (Vargas) vs Blue Jays (Alvarez)

Henderson Alvarez looks for his first win of the season against Seattle on  Sunday, as Toronto tries to take the series from the Mariners.  This game features 2 struggling #3 hitters, as Ichiro for the Mariners and Jose Bautista for the Blue Jays look to get back on track.  I predict that Vargas will stymie the Blue Jays and the Mariners will win.

Pick: Mariners

Diamondbacks (Miley) vs Marlins (Johnson)

The good news for Josh Johnson is that he hasn't gotten injured and we are almost to May.  The bad news for for Josh Johnson is that he has been terrible so far in April, which is usually his best month out of the year.  Johnson did pitch well in his last start but did not get a decision, and today he will continue his progress forward and get his first win of 2012.

Pick: Marlins

Astros (Lyles) vs Reds (Latos)

In his last start Mat Latos finally looked like the pitcher the Cincinnati Reds traded for.  Now he gets to face an offense that doesn't exactly intimidate anyone.  Houston will counter with Jordan Lyles, who his making his first start of 2012.  I like the Reds in this one because it looks like Latos has found whatever he had that made him successful in San Diego.

Pick: Reds

Cubs (Garza) vs Phillies (Kendrick)

The struggles of the Philadelphia offense are well documented, and now they face a pitcher in Matt Garza that has given them fits even at full strength.  Garza went 1-1 last year against the Phillies, but had a 1.29 ERA in those games.  I think that the Cubs offense will score a couple of runs and Garza will shut down the Phillies to get the win.

Pick: Cubs

Athletics (Colon) vs Orioles (Hunter)

I know that both of these pitchers are doing well to start the 2012 campaign, but I still don't trust either one of them.  It seems like Bartolo Colon has been in the league since 1972, and I have never been a fan of Tommy Hunter.  Both pitchers are off to good starts however, and I think that Hunter will fare better today and the Orioles will get the win.

Pick: Orioles

Pirates (Correia) vs Braves (Hudson)

Welcome back Tim Hudson!  After having off-season back surgery that sidelined him for the first month of the season, Hudson is back.  Hudson has got to be happy that his first start is against the Pirates, because they can't score any runs.  I think that Hudson will get the win in his first start and Atlanta will take the series from the Pirates.

Pick: Braves

Red Sox (Beckett) vs White Sox (Floyd)

Now that the Boston Red Sox are on a 6-game winning streak I can just picture the Boston fans clamoring that they are going to win another World Series.  This time last week the same Boston fans were clamoring for Bobby Valentines head.  There is no middle ground when it comes to the Red Sox, it is either dominance or destruction.  It will be dominance today as they win number 7 in a row and sweep aside Chicago.

Pick: Red Sox

Royals (Chen) vs Twins (Marquis)

This what I wrote yesterday:  "I still can't believe how well Bruce Chen is pitching so far for Kansas City.  He hasn't gotten a win because the Royals offense has scored no runs for him, but he has only allowed 7 earned runs in 25 innings.  He is facing an offense today that isn't exactly setting the world on fire.  I predict that Bruce Chen gets the win and the Royals keep on winning."  I am sticking with this pick

Pick: Royals

Brewers (Greinke) vs Cardinals (Garcia)

This is a tough game to predict.  Zack Greinke has historically pitched very well against St. Louis and he does already have a win against them this year.  Jaime Garcia also has a win against the team he is facing today, as won his lone start against Milwaukee this year.  I think that Greinke will get the win, but it will be a close hard fought game.

Pick: Brewers

Mets (Santana) vs Rockies (Moyer)

Johan Santana and Jamie Moyer are both exceeding expectations in 2012, especially since neither one pitched at all in 2011.  Another similarity between these 2 pitchers is that their best pitch is their changeup.  Both Santana and Moyer rely heavily on that pitch and he needs to be located correctly to be successful.  I predict that Johan Santana will be better than Jamie Moyer on this day and the Mets will get the win.

Pick: Mets

Padres (Richard) vs Giants (Bumgarner)

Madison Bumgarner is becoming one of my favorite pitchers in baseball, and it isn't because of his name.  He is still just a 22 year old kid who looks like he is having the time of his life every time he steps on a pitchers mound.  He also has dominating stuff and will continue to pitch well as the Giants will win today.  In fact San Francisco is my choice for lock of the day.

Pick: Giants. This is my lock of the day.

Nationals (Gonzalez) vs Dodgers (Capuano)

Now that the Bryce Harper hoopla has subsided and he has finally made his debut, the Nationals can go back to doing what they do best, which is pitching.  Gio Gonzalez has been money so far in 2012 and he will continue his dominant start today as the Nationals will beat Chris Capuano and the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Pick: Nationals

Rays (Price) vs Rangers (Holland)

The Texas Rangers are the one team that David Price hasn't figured out how to beat yet.  He is 0-6 in 9 career starts against the Rangers, which are the only team from the American League he has pitched against and never beaten.  My prediction today is that the Rangers will get the win and keep Price winless against them.

Pick: Rangers

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